What The Gulf's Tropical Activity Could Develop Into

Image taken on August 16th, 2013 from the National Hurricane Center
Monday Update: The tropical disturbance has dissipated.

A tropical disturbance near the Yucatán Peninsula could soon gain enough strength to become a named storm.

Chris Hebert, the manager of impact weather’s hurricane team, says right now, the weak low-pressure system near the Yucatán doesn’t have any thunderstorms.

"But, I think, in the next couple of days, as it drifts slowly to the west-northwest to northwest, that we might see those thunderstorms developing closer to the center," he says.  "And if that does happen, we think that it’s going to become a tropical depression and possibly a tropical storm in the southwestern Gulf over the weekend."

Hebert sees a possible tropical storm threat for the lower-to-middle Texas Coast.

"But we’re not seeing a hurricane threat at this time, because of the wind shear that’s going to be in its path, as it approaches, let’s say, northern Mexico or the south Texas coast," he says. "So, with any luck, we could be looking at some beneficial rains for south Texas that might spread further north into more of Texas early next week when it does move inland."

Hebert says the Houston area will likely see some of that rain, but no tropical storm activity.

If and when the disturbance reaches tropical storm status, it will be known as “Fernand.”

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