On the Records: Fact Checking Perry on Economy Claims
by: Becca Aaronson, The Texas Tribune, October 1, 2011 9:10:17 am
Perry Campaign Claim: 384,000 Jobs Created In the Past Two Years from August 2009 to 2011
Texas actually created 387,900 jobs during this time period — slightly more than the Perry campaign reported — according to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It’s also true Texas created more jobs during this period than any other state in the nation.
But the omission of Texas’ current unemployment rate makes this fact slightly misleading. Texas unemployment rate went up from 8 percent to 8.5 percent, during the time period that those jobs were created. That means job creation hasn’t kept pace with the size of the workforce, which has increased because of migration and a large population of young Texans entering the workforce.
This statistic also overlooks another fact: When the recession hit Texas in 2009, the state lost 296,300 jobs from August 2008 to August 2009. Texas still hasn’t caught up to employment levels from before the recession, and is currently 25,600 jobs behind the level of unemployment in August 2008.
Claim: Texas employment Grew 85 Percent Faster than in CA, NY, IL, FL or PA
Over the last year, Texas created 81,900 more jobs than California, which had the second highest number of jobs created over the year, according to the BLS stats. Compared to other populous states, Texas created 169,800 more jobs than New York, 196,600 more jobs than Pennsylvania and 210,800 more jobs than Illinois over the year.
But again, a comparison of the unemployment rates makes this fact slightly misleading. In two of those states — New York and Pennsylvania — the unemployment rate is lower than in Texas. And whereas New York’s unemployment rate has stayed at 7.9 to 8 percent for the past six months, Texas’ unemployment rate rose .5 percent. Needless to say, all of these states have unemployment rates well above a healthy 5 percent.
Claim: 38 Percent of Nation’s New Net Jobs Were Created in Texas in the Past Two Years
Perry’s campaign calculated this number from June 2009 to June 2011, but when the Tribune looked at data from August 2009 to August 2011, we found the percentage is a little higher. According to the federal employment data, during that time period the U.S. had a net increase of 939,000 jobs. Since 387,900 of those jobs were in Texas, the Lone Star State actually contributed 41 percent of national job creation.
Claim: Lowest Overall Tax Burden Among 10 Largest States (Texas Has No State Income Tax)
The Perry campaign is right that Texas, unlike many other large states, has no personal income tax, which lowers the tax burden on residents. And unlike Alaska and Florida, which also do not have an individual income tax, Texas does not have a corporate income tax either.
But we're not exactly clear how the Perry Campaign justifies its claim. One of its cited sources, the Tax Foundation, lists Texas as number 13 on its annual State Business Tax Climate Index for fiscal year 2011. One of the 10 largest states by population is ranked above Texas: Florida, at number five. Earlier this year, the Tax Foundation issued its annual ranking of state and local tax burdens, with Texas having the 45th lowest percentage in 2009. And Kiplinger Financial Finance Magazine, last November, named the five best and five worst states for retiree taxes. Texas was in neither group.
One reason it may be misleading to say Texas has the “lowest overall tax burden” is that it depends on what you consider a tax. Texas has more than 60 separate taxes, fees and assessments used to collect revenue for the state.
Texas collected $87 billion from residents in 2010. More than $19 million of that revenue — the greatest amount from a single state-issued tax — was collected from the sales tax, which affects everyone in the state. Many experts say sales taxes also put the greatest “burden” on low-income households, because a greater percentage of their income is subject to the tax.
Another large source of revenue in Texas is the franchise tax. Although not technically a corporate income tax, the franchise tax collects revenue from businesses, corporations and other legal entities. Texas collected $3.8 billion from the franchise tax in 2010.
Texas’ budget deficit has been attributed in part by some experts to the franchise tax, which lawmakers revamped in 2006 to replace revenue lost when they lowered local property taxes. Those experts say the franchise tax never sufficiently filled the revenue gap. And in 2010, the franchise tax actually brought in 9.3 percent less than the previous year, because of a bill Perry approved in 2009 that created exemptions for small businesses.
Claim: $49,192 Average Annual Wage Per Worker in 2011
The Tribune isn’t quite sure how the Perry campaign calculated this one. According to preliminary June 2011 data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Texans earned $800 a week on average, which would amount to less than $41,600 annually if the worker never takes a vacation.
Average earnings also give a skewed impression of the income of the workforce, because a few number of extremely high-income workers can offset a large number of extremely low-income workers. If you consider the median wage of Texans instead of the average, half of workers in the state earned $31,500 or less in 2010, according to data released by the Texas Workforce Commission.
The Perry campaign presumably tries to account for the criticism of overlooking low-wage workers by including the note that 95 percent of workers are paid above minimum wage. That’s true. But Texas is often criticized for the relatively high number of workers that are paid at or below minimum wage, and for legitimate reason.
In 2010, Texas had the greatest number of workers paid at or below minimum wage, 550,000 people. The second greatest number of minimum wage workers was in New York, which had 264,000 people working at or below minimum wage.
When you adjust those numbers to account for the size of the workforce, both states also had the greatest and second greatest percentage of hourly workers paid at or below minimum wage. But in Texas the percentage was more than double than in New York — 12.6 percent compared to 6.1 percent.
The Perry Campaign's info graphic is below:
This article originally appeared in The Texas Tribune at http://www.texastribune.org/texas-politics/2012-presidential-election/records-fact-checking-perry-texas-economy-claims/.